In our December MIR titled Genghis John and Building Snowmobiles during the midst of the market rout I wrote the following noting the key macro variables we didn’t and couldn’t know at the time: Q4 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc We can’t predict with high certainty exactly how the Fed will react to slowing global data ex. US We can’t predict if/when China will attempt to reflate its economy with another massive credit injection Rising geopolitical tensions bring greater risks and unknowns. We don’t know if the trade war will escalate significantly (though recent signs indicate it will) or…
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