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The Confounding Bias For Investment Complexity

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The Confounding Bias For Investment Complexity by Jason Hsu and John West, Research Affiliates

The Confounding Bias For Investment Complexity

Key Points

  1. A preference for complexity is almost hardwired into investors, their agents, and asset managers because the intuition is that a complicated investment landscape requires a complex solution; a complex strategy also supports a higher fee from both agents and managers.
  2. Research shows that simple, low-turnover and complex, high-turnover strategies perform similarly on a before-fee basis, suggesting the former may have the advantage after tax.
  3. Simplicity leads to better investor outcomes not because simplicity in and of itself produces better investment returns, but because a simple strategy encourages investors to own their decisions and to less frequently overreact to short-term noise.

“Simplicity is a great...

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