Is Math A Better Decision Maker Than Human?

The prisoners have the right to solicit parole. Every so often, in every prison the commission composed of experts (psychologists/sociologists) congregates . They main task is to grade, who can be set free and who cannot. Ideally, they would like to let go prisoners, who will not commit a crime in the future and to keep those, who will commit it. Unfortunately, the experts don’t know, what will do each prisoner on the loose. Two researchers (Wormith and Goldstone[1]) have decided to look closely on this subject.

They have collected a data about 222 prisoners, who have been holden in state prisons. They have checked , which one of them have been on the parole and which have not and how...