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Is Peak Oil Demand In Sight?

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Is Peak Oil Demand In Sight? by Occo Roelofsen, Namit Sharma, Rembrandt Sutorius, and Christer Tryggestad - McKinsey & Company

Our latest research suggests lower long-term growth in demand for oil than previously forecast. This warrants a fresh, critical look at energy investments.

Energy outlook: Key insights

Our business-as-usual case integrates the latest McKinsey view on economic-growth fundamentals and granular sector and regional insights. Six key points have emerged:

  1. Growth in global energy demand will decelerate to 0.7 percent per year through 2050, a rate 30 percent slower than we had previously forecast.
  2. Emerging and developing countries1 will drive all growth in energy demand, while European and North American demand will decline.
  3. Chemicals will grow at more than double the rate of...

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