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Spitznagel Warns Of Biggest Collapse Ever; Outlines The NonCorrelated Risk Manager's Credo

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Mark Melin
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Mark Spitznagel likely knows risk management can be a lonely, solitaire existence if one has the wrong attitude. In fact, the Austrian economic philosopher can be used as a litmus test to determine if you are a risk manager or a "hope" investor.

If one recoiled with horror at the idea that a central bank inflated asset bubble has been built and it won’t take much to pop, as Spitznagel recently did, then you are a “hope” based investor. If, however, you find Spitznagel's mathematical logic that this bubble could burst due to any number of variables, logic and otherwise, then one might think it is time for thought change on Wall Street. Astute investors need to demonstrate they are, in fact, truly elite when it matters most – during stock market crisis – and only then can they wear the crown of the noncorrelated investing professional. Watch the world with a degree of dispassion so that analysis allows for clear thinking regarding hedging and risk management -- and above all, don't be sheep.

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.