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Michael Mauboussin: How To Determine If Your Investment Performance Is Driven By Skill Or Luck

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Rupert Hargreaves
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Are your portfolio returns down to skill or luck? Have you outperformed due to stock picking skill or just good luck, aided by the wider market rally? Conversely, has your portfolio underperformed due to a run of bad luck or poor decisions? It's hard to tell.

Those that outperform are more likely to say that it was their skill that yielded results. While those investors that have lagged the market are most likely to blame a run of bad luck.

Michael Mauboussin, the head of Global Financial Strategies at Credit Suisse, looked at the key distinctions between skill and luck in his book The Success Equation: Untangling Skill and Luck in Business, Sports and Investing.

Skill vs. luck

Even though The...

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Sign up now and get our in-depth FREE e-books on famous investors like Klarman, Dalio, Schloss, Munger Rupert is a committed value investor and regularly writes and invests following the principles set out by Benjamin Graham. He is the editor and co-owner of Hidden Value Stocks, a quarterly investment newsletter aimed at institutional investors. Rupert owns shares in Berkshire Hathaway. Rupert holds qualifications from the Chartered Institute For Securities & Investment and the CFA Society of the UK. Rupert covers everything value investing for Hedge Fund Alpha