You Can Ignore The Rig Count Decline

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When rig counts have fallen ~25% and your still producing record amounts of oil, a weekly decline of a few rigs is meaningless

Q3 2019 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

“Davidson” submits:

In the face of a 25% fall in the Baker Hughes/GE Rig Count, US Crude Production rises to 12.9mil BBL/Day. This speaks to the enormous strides the US energy industry has taken to reduce costs through prudent application of technology and adjustments to operating procedures. The broad trends of increasing exports of Refined Products(13% growth) and crude oil continue, while crude imports are gradually replaced by domestic production.

Rig Count

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Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and a General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. He holds them until that value is realized or the fundamentals change in a way that no longer support his thesis. His blog features his various ideas and commentary and he updates readers on their progress in a timely fashion. His commentary has been seen in the online versions of the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, CNN Money, Business Week, Crain’s NY, Kiplingers and other publications. He has also appeared on Fox Business News & Fox News and is a contributor. His commentary on Starbucks during 2008 was recently quoted by its Founder Howard Schultz in his recent book “Onward”. In 2011 he was asked to present an investment idea at Bill Ackman’s “Harbor Investment Conference”.