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Get Ready For Positive Caterpillar News, Say Analysts

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Mark Melin
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At the start of March short sellers in Caterpillar Inc (NYSE:CAT) stock such as Jim Chanos of Kynilos Associates, a group noted by their particularly thick skin, were found licking their wounds. Chanos shorted the stock in 2012 in part on the thesis that China, a big market for Caterpillar's heavy equipment purchases, would fall into troubled times. That negative catalyst didn't happen. The stock moved higher to $110 in 2014 and then bottomed at $59.87 nearly one year ago, but even then Chanos didn't take profits. Since then the stock steadily climbed in a reasonably consistent price uptrend channel and significantly outperforming the broader stock market. Chanos told CNBC he was still short this past October, and...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.