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VIX In Midst of Historic Indecision: Goldman

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Mark Melin
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Volatility as measured by the VIX index is in an indecisive mode, reflecting the overall market sentiment . New research from Goldman Sachs says the VIX is searching for a new trading range after trading near historic low levels over the previous year.

VIX term structure precent of 2 move

Goldman considers recession levels to determine VIX range

In establishing a new baseline projection for a VIX trading range, Goldman considers that “26 is the median daily VIX level over the last three recessions” as it establishes both a low and a high point for its analysis.

After trading in the mid- to low teens for much of the quantitative easing economic period,...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.