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Trump Victory Might Not Be Market Atom Bomb Analysts Expected

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Mark Melin
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With yesterday's Trump victory, the political atomic bomb has exploded. “Polls, political prognosticators, and investors all underestimated the magnitude of dissatisfaction of the US electorate,” a Goldman Sachs report noted, stating the obvious in the wake of the election of Donald Trump. In fact, just like the Brexit vote – when establishment analysis missed the underlying anger at a status quo – the Trump anger generally surprised media pundits, Wall Street analysts and establishment political leaders.

Wall Street’s reaction to the surprise victory is decidedly mixed if slightly focused on the downside.

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Morgan Stanley's herd-master Adam Parker says don't buy Trump victory sell-off, Carl Icahn ignores advice

The overwhelming consensus before the election...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.