In our December MIR titled Genghis John and Building Snowmobiles during the midst of the market rout I wrote the following noting the key macro variables we didn’t and couldn’t know at the time:
Q4 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc
- We can’t predict with high certainty exactly how the Fed will react to slowing global data ex. US
- We can’t predict if/when China will attempt to reflate its economy with another massive credit injection
- Rising geopolitical tensions bring greater risks and unknowns. We don’t know if the trade war will escalate significantly (though recent signs indicate it will) or if...
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