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Stocks Might Get Stuck In 2008 Trading Range

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Mark Melin
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What the stock market is doing is playing in what could be a protracted trading range, says technical research from MKM Partners. But watch out, ghosts of 2008 could abound.

MKM S&P projection 2008 Trading Range

Extreme bearishness led to 2008 trading range short rally, but bulls should not get their hopes up

Two weeks ago, market pessimism reached an extreme – a key bullish sign. “Bearishness and downtrends often go hand in hand, just as optimism often reigns in uptrends,” MKM Partners Chief Market Technician Jonathan Krinsky wrote in a Feb. 21 report titled “Equilibrium… For Now.”

Does this mean that a bottom has been put in? Has the “all clear” signal been...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.