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Current Stock Valuations Suggest Market Is Shaky

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Rupert Hargreaves
Published on
Updated on
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Stock market crash

There seems to be no shortage of analysts willing to justify the current level of the market. As investors continue to pour money into ETFs to track the market’s gains, Wall Street analysts are only too happy to produce valuation models adjusted to hit at the best outcome. Analysts at Barclays have even gone so far as to say that “animal spirits” will continue to drive the market higher, ignoring all fundamental factors.

However, most of these Wall Street forecasts ignore historic evidence, the vast majority of which shows that investment portfolio returns significantly deteriorate in the years following peak valuations.

The two charts below are some of the best charts around to illustrate this point.

Current Stock...

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Sign up now and get our in-depth FREE e-books on famous investors like Klarman, Dalio, Schloss, Munger Rupert is a committed value investor and regularly writes and invests following the principles set out by Benjamin Graham. He is the editor and co-owner of Hidden Value Stocks, a quarterly investment newsletter aimed at institutional investors. Rupert owns shares in Berkshire Hathaway. Rupert holds qualifications from the Chartered Institute For Securities & Investment and the CFA Society of the UK. Rupert covers everything value investing for Hedge Fund Alpha