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Speculative Net Short Position In Ten Year Futures Largest Since 2005

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Mark Melin
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Updated on
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The speculative net short position in the Ten Year Note futures market is the second largest, only bested by the market position in March of 2005.

Last time net shorts were this high, interest rates rose

RBS COT net short

According to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s Commitment of Trader’s report, the net short position 59.62 billion, recently surging $17.23 billion.  The net short position in March of 2005 was $60.5 billion.  When this happened, interest rates rose and bond prices fell leading into a high point in 2006.

RBS COT hedger

According to an investor note from the...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.