U.S. Recession Risk Is Low But Rising: Morgan Stanley

Recession Risk is the big question these days …. The U.S. is currently experiencing a recession on the industrial side, and the MSRISK suggests that the risk of a broad U.S. recession over the next six months is currently low but rising. Manoj Pradhan and team at Morgan Stanley said in their research note titled “Recessions Aren’t What They Used to Be” that they believe DM central banks have enough ammo, though the put now has a higher strike price.

U.S. Recession Risk currently low but rising

The Morgan Stanley analysts argue that the industrial side, which constitutes about 10% of the U.S. economy, is in recession. They point out that growth in some service-side indicators has slowed. Citing their own proprietary risk...