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Pulling The Punchbowl

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Mark Melin
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There is an odd bit of history playing out in real time that many who are not connected to the inner workings of the financial machine might not appreciate. As the US Federal Reserve begins to reduce its more than $4 billion balance sheet heft the European Central Bank will attempt to do the same. Will the coordinated withdrawal of central bank quantitative stimulus that many say is supporting markets end up being a coordinated ordeal as some analysts predict?  To understand the unwind modeling in part, consider how the unprecedented balance sheet behemoth was built and then take a look at potential ECB unwind probability paths.

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.