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Panicked Investors Missed The Rebound

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valueplays
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From a Reader:

Q1 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

I try to send some helpful charts and facts each week.  Charts are extremely helpful in getting a visual picture of what has happened.    .

Fact of the week below:  This is why managing your own behavior is the hardest obstacle to investing success.  I did not have ONE client sell out (although I had to do a lot of hand holding to prevent it and still am).

Data from Fidelity Investments indicates “a third of investors ages 65 and up sold all of their stockholdings some time between February and May” and “18% of all investors across all ages groups” sold out too.

Panicked Investors

Panicked Investors

Absolutely devastating. A lifetime of savings undermined.   They sold at the worst time and missed the recovery.  Chart above shows this to be true.  See next one showing money market fund balances.  Most people are still sitting with cash making zero.  That is not going to stay there forever.

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Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and a General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. He holds them until that value is realized or the fundamentals change in a way that no longer support his thesis. His blog features his various ideas and commentary and he updates readers on their progress in a timely fashion. His commentary has been seen in the online versions of the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, CNN Money, Business Week, Crain’s NY, Kiplingers and other publications. He has also appeared on Fox Business News & Fox News and is a RealMoney.com contributor. His commentary on Starbucks during 2008 was recently quoted by its Founder Howard Schultz in his recent book “Onward”. In 2011 he was asked to present an investment idea at Bill Ackman’s “Harbor Investment Conference”.