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MKM: A New Volatility Trading Range Ahead

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Mark Melin
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Institutional research service MKM Partners thinks a new volatility trading range is ahead.

When the VIX index was downstream flirting with the 12 handle in April, certain tacticians looked at mean reversion and anticipated trading bands and wondered when volatility regimes might change again. If the VIX couldn’t nestle down and hold in the 12 region after a violent January and February sell-off, the price rebound in the S&P 500 – the “Dimon bottom” – might be a fake and that bottom might get spanked again, was speculation among strategists at the time. Now with the VIX showing signs of restlessness, the question is: Is a high volatility market environment about...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.