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Ultra Long Duration Bond Trend Rolls On In Spain

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Mark Melin
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There is a bond trend taking place across the world and file this under what could possibly go wrong.

One can argue in a quantitatively educed yield starved environment, the bond trend’s most visible early indicator occurred when the infamous Petrobras 100-year offering was floated and gobbled up, then later spit out, by investors. The trend is not regarding fraud, as some have alleged in the Petrobras case.

This is a different continuation pattern visible in news reported in Bloomberg that long duration sovereign bonds are gaining popularity. This speaks to a bond trend of institutional investors need to reach for yield despite at times defying long-term logic and what is known about distressed debt dynamics.

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.