HFA Icon

No January Effect in 2016 Says BAML

HFA Padded
Mark Melin
Published on
Updated on
Sign up for our E-mail List and Get FREE Access to Exclusive Investment E-books and More!

With the stock market down significantly Monday – the S&P 500 ended down 31 points yesterday, its worst start since 2008 – and pre-market futures pointing to soft opening on Tuesday of a new year, Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s Equity and Quant Strategy team was out with a report dated December 30 that explained why the January effect is less likely to occur in 2016, bolstering their quant thinking with fundamental logic.

BAML earnings revision ratio chart January Effect
January Effect

January effect won’t lift stocks in January, underlying fundamentally-driven ratios tell Bank of America Merrill Lynch

The January effect typically lifts stock prices during...

Login required to continue reading.

Setup a free account to get access to this article (no credit card required).

View Full Article
Already a member? Log in here
HFA Padded

Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.