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A Proxy On Global Trade Growth

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Rupert Hargreaves
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After years of non-existent growth, global trade growth rebounded in 2017, defying expectations.

Heading into the year, many analysts were predicting a trade war between China and the US as tension mounted, but the opposite has happened. As 2017 draws to a close, the International Monetary Fund is projecting the volume of trade in goods and services will have climbed 4.2% over the year, up from 2.4% in 2016. If these figures turn out to be accurate, this will be the first time trade has outpaced growth since 2014.

Growth is heating up across the world. The US  US ISM manufacturing for November came in at 58.2, down slightly from the print of 60.8 two months previously, but...

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Sign up now and get our in-depth FREE e-books on famous investors like Klarman, Dalio, Schloss, Munger Rupert is a committed value investor and regularly writes and invests following the principles set out by Benjamin Graham. He is the editor and co-owner of Hidden Value Stocks, a quarterly investment newsletter aimed at institutional investors. Rupert owns shares in Berkshire Hathaway. Rupert holds qualifications from the Chartered Institute For Securities & Investment and the CFA Society of the UK. Rupert covers everything value investing for Hedge Fund Alpha