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GDP And Earnings: Is It 1987? [CHARTS]

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Harrison Roger
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Everyone is talking about whether it is 1987.

In 1987, stocks shed 31%, although GDP accelerated and earnings kept growing. A similar story is present today – GDP is likely to have accelerated in 3Q, earnings are still growing, albeit at a considerably lower pace, and stocks are jittery.

There are, of course, important differences between 1987 and today.

Here’s a look a 6 macroeconomic variables and how they performed in 1987.

The top left is bond yields. In 1987 yields jumped from around 7.2% to 9.1%, a jump of 26%. In contrast, yields are not about to jump in today’s environment.

The middle-top left is the CPI. From the start of 1987 to the end, inflation more than doubled, going from 2%...

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Roger is an economic adviser and active angel investor. He owns various economics firms. His work allows him a diverse group of clients across the globe, including the United States, Europe, and Asia. He holds a Ph.D. in business economics.