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Looking at How the Economy and Markets Have Performed Since the Fed Started Hiking Each Cycle

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Harrison Roger
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Fed Started Hiking - On December 15, 2015, the Fed shocked the world.  It announced that it would start raising rates for the first time since 2006.  The politically motivated tightening move may come one more time before the election.  Perhaps in June.

Also see  Which President Wins? Looking at Some Politics Connected with Today’s American Labor Market

A look at how selected economic indicators and markets have performed during the still-young tightening cycle compared to other tightening cycles follows.

Before looking, how would you guess this time around compared?  Are markets performing better than prior tightening cycles?  What about Employment or Industrial Production?

Employment

First, an explanation before analysis.

The charts that follow contain a line for each Fed tightening cycle.  A Fed...

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Roger is an economic adviser and active angel investor. He owns various economics firms. His work allows him a diverse group of clients across the globe, including the United States, Europe, and Asia. He holds a Ph.D. in business economics.