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BAML Says Fed Rate Hike Not Driven By Political Considerations

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Mark Melin
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There is one political calculus that might drive a Fed rate hike, but overall the U.S. Federal Reserve will not factor in the U.S. election into its decision to hike interest rates, a Bank of America Merrill Lynch report predicted Wednesday.

BAML 5 25 Fed rate hike

BAML clients wonder about political impact of Fed rate hike

A number of clients have been calling BAML’s Rates Strategist Mark Cabana and Global & US Economist Michael Hansen asking the same question: “Will the Fed be deterred from raising rates due to a presidential election?”

When the Fed raises rates it will be a pure decision and politics will not be a component unless it...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.