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Industry Detail Suggests Lots of Room for Employment Growth

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Harrison Roger
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Friday's employment report came in about in-line with expectations at +223K.  Analysts had expected +228K.

The slightly weaker than expected jobs picture was probably the perfect report.

Essentially, anything above 200K in job growth is good, and coming in slightly less than expected likely shifted out concerns of the Federal Reserve raising rates sooner rather than later.

Employment Growth - Still a Growing Chorus of Concerned Analysts

The decent jobs report did present some concerns.

The concerns range from the more baseline risk that economic conditions completely stagnate to the much bigger concern of a complete deceleration (decelerating conditions are a prelude to a recession).

Deceleration Argument

Here's a look at the deceleration argument.

Essentially, since peaking in February 2015, employment growth, measured on a...

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Roger is an economic adviser and active angel investor. He owns various economics firms. His work allows him a diverse group of clients across the globe, including the United States, Europe, and Asia. He holds a Ph.D. in business economics.