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In A Fairy Tale World Of Negative Interest Rates, Not All Commodities Are Equal

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Mark Melin
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"Not all commodities are created equal," a Goldman Sachs Goal Kickstart report under the same name observed. On the week, copper and oil, both with economic correlation factors to various degrees, went in opposite directions and represented extremes in both highs and lows. While both assets are used to gauge economic activity, their Commodity correlation, however, is at a relatively low 0.16, a fact both commodities put on display. Those are not the real divergent commodities, however. Gold, known as a crisis performer, is the rare commodity Goldman expects to underperform over the near term despite overall Commodity correlation. When lack of crisis appears, however, risk parity is a strategy that succeeds, which is currently the case.

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.