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China’s Growth Worries Local Bankers As Hedge Funds Face Liquidation

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Rupert Hargreaves
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China’s Growth Worries Bankers

The “Chinese Bankers Survey Report 2015” was published by the China Banking Association (CBA) on January 24. The report focused on the operational details of the country’s banking industry in 2015.

According to Red Pulse, an event-driven research firm in Shanghai covering market events impacting Chinese companies, feedback from the Chinese Bankers Survey Report indicates that expectations for bank profits over the next few years are not optimistic.

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Red Pulse’s analysis shows that 80% of the survey report’s respondents expect that the bank growth rate of both revenue and profits would be less than 15% over the next three years. Around 60% of the respondents to the survey forecasted growth of under 10% over the next three years.

However, just under half of the bankers surveyed for the report believed that non-performing loans would only account for between 1% and 3% of the industry’s balance sheet during the same period.

China's growth
China’s growth is slowing

China’s growth is mixed at ground level

The biggest challenge China’s banks now face going forward is finding new sources of growth. It’s no secret that China’s growth overall is slowing, and it is becoming harder for banks to find pockets of growth.

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Sign up now and get our in-depth FREE e-books on famous investors like Klarman, Dalio, Schloss, Munger Rupert is a committed value investor and regularly writes and invests following the principles set out by Benjamin Graham. He is the editor and co-owner of Hidden Value Stocks, a quarterly investment newsletter aimed at institutional investors. Rupert owns shares in Berkshire Hathaway. Rupert holds qualifications from the Chartered Institute For Securities & Investment and the CFA Society of the UK. Rupert covers everything value investing for Hedge Fund Alpha