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China Faces An Impossible Trinity As Debt To GDP To Hit Over 300% In 2-3 Years

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Mark Melin
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Chinese financial engineers are currently in the process of testing what it calls the Impossible Trinity of market feats, a Deutsche Bank report says. The level of difficulty is high as China walks a debt tightrope with rising interest rates potentially creating a tricky headwind as China's debt servicing costs reach levels hard to manage.

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Can capital controls mix with an independent monetary policy in China?

The past few weeks has seen Chinese interest rates start to rise, the April 7 Deutsche Bank report noted. Titled “China Debt: Testing the ‘Impossible Trinity,’” it focused on three core issues: 1) A fixed/stable exchange rate 2) Independent monetary policy 3) Free movement of...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.