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Albert Edwards: Central Bank Hubris Is A Sell Signal

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Mark Melin
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Finding successful and consistent indicators to future market moves is a Holy Grail-like quest for market analysts such as Societie Generale’s Albert Edwards. In an April 13 commentary, he considers various measures of hubris that lead not to glory but downfall – and then points to overconfidence in the markets to which investment managers should avoid at all costs. Perhaps the most telling market indicator is that of central bank hubris.

central bank hubris

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There are numerous indicators that, on the surface, might point to glittering success but underneath actually reveal hubris and self-conceit – and foretell decline.

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.