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Barclays: Bull Run In Commodities Ending

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Mark Melin
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Commodities have performed well in 2016, particularly since late January. But the relative rally in commodities might be short-lived, a Barclays research piece observes. In fact, a rather dramatic fall in commodity prices could be ahead.

Barclays 3 30 copper oil Commodities

Commodities vulnerable to price reversal

“In the absence of any concerted fundamental improvements, those returns are unlikely to be repeated in Q2, making commodities vulnerable to a wave of investor liquidation,” the Barclays commodity piece predicted. But not just a little vulnerability, there could be a significant market reversal. In a worst case scenario, commodity prices could be knocked down by as much as 20-25%...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.