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BAML: Bullish High Yield Thesis Rests On Three Pillars Which Are Teetering

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Mark Melin
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2017 is not likely to be a good year for high yield investment performance, Bank of America Merrill Lynch notes. In particular, cracks are appearing in the bullish thesis that had been playing out all year. Of the three pillars upon which the high yield thesis rests, it is one performance driver that could most upset performance expectations.

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Cracks might appear in high yield thesis

With the US Federal Reserve eying a December rate cut, investors in both stocks and bonds have begun to express nervousness to various degrees. From September 29, when the US Ten Year Note was yielding 1.55%, rates have climbed to 1.78% today. Stocks, meanwhile, continue...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.