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Balyasny Notes Fed Trend Change: Yellen No Longer Providing Insiders Info, Ready With Subtle Hedges

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Mark Melin
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A confidential strategy document from Balyasny Asset Management notes an interesting benchmark in U.S. Federal Reserve history: Fed insiders attending an elite event in Jackson Hole, WY, typically accustomed to getting an “early warning” with subtle indications as to forthcoming Fed policy, might not be getting inside information under Yellen’s reign. The strategy document was positive on Greece but did note troubling dichotomies pushing the markets in odd directions while observing an important correlation among recent Fed speakers. This occurs while the generally non-correlated strategy is preparing for a rising rate environment that will likely provide a significant challenge for most hedge fund managers.

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.