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Asset Managers Pair Back Equity Longs To A Three Year Low

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Mark Melin
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With U.S. equity prices nearing or breaking year to date highs, asset managers had decreased their net long exposure to equities by $900 million, touching a three year low in net positioning. Asset managers also sold $33 billion in 10-year treasury notes over the last four weeks, a Futures and Hedge Fund Positioning report from Bank of America Merrill Lynch shows.

BAML 3 21 net positioning

Asset managers selling treasury notes typically leads to oversold rally

Historically, asset managers selling treasury notes “tends to trigger oversold rally, and 10-year treasury went up 61% of the time with an average return of 0.17% over the next week, based on a total of 18 occurrences...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.