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CIBC: Tax-Loss Selling Creates January Mean Reversion Opportunity In Select Stocks

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Mark Melin
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Tax-loss selling to create January buy opportunity? Yes, some say.

If a quantitative analyst were to take a look at stocks that were caught in tax loss selling, the trend reoccurrence is identifiable. A CIBC quantitative research report out December 10 runs stock through its mathematical filter to determine those issues which could experience selling as 2016 ends and mean reversion in January of 2017.

Tax-Loss Selling
Divergence. CIBC chart

Shares in CIBC’s tax-loss selling category are up by 8-10% in the first 60 days of the year

Tax loss candidates are those that have lost money for an investor over the course of the year. The idea...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.