Odd correlation - the new normal? Maybe says Adam Parker
The post-election stock market rally has been odd from several respects. The US equity markets – led in part by the previously beaten down banks – was accompanied by the dollar strengthening and the yield curve steepening as market participants anticipate a spate of interest rate increases in 2017. Forget that many analysts predicted a Trump stock market sell-off. Ignore that concerns over trade wars have vaporized despite a continued raft of antagonizing tweets from the President-elect aimed at the Chinese and various US companies. What is really odd, quantitative research from Morgan Stanley points out, is how traditionally non-correlated factors, such as a rising stock market and steepening yield...

