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Bridgewater: Japan's QE Mostly Impacts Yen, Not Broad Economy

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Mark Melin
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Quantitative easing in Japan has delivered a “muted” boost in consumer lending and even the related higher end asset prices that result from the program are only benefiting households to a limited degree, a recent strategy document written by Bridgewater Associates observes.

To develop its thesis, Bridgewater looks at quarterly bank earnings announcements in Japan and uses this as one yard stick to measure how successful the Bank of Japan’s quantitative easing is at “flowing through to the real economy.”

The most significant impact of QE is on the currency, not the economy

The report notes the key benefit of central bank market stimulus is a lower national currency value, which is stimulating those fortunate enough to be in export-oriented businesses....

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.