HFA Icon

Daniel Kahneman: Investors Need To Make Peace With Their Losses

HFA Padded
The Acquirer's Multiple
Published on
Sign up for our E-mail List and Get FREE Access to Exclusive Investment E-books and More!

In the book Choices, Values, and Frames, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky explain why investors need to make peace with their losses. Here’s an excerpt from the book:

Q3 2022 hedge fund letters, conferences and more

institutional money management Investment Books
mohamed_hassan / Pixabay

This analysis suggests that a person who has not made peace with his losses is likely to accept gambles that would be unacceptable to him otherwise.

The well known observation (McGlothlin, 1956) that the tendency to bet on long shots increases in the course of the betting day provides some support for the hypothesis that a failure to adapt to losses or to attain an expected gain induces risk seeking.

For another example, consider an individual who expects to purchase insurance, perhaps because he has owned it in the past or because his friends do. This individual may code the decision to pay a premium y to protect against a loss x as a choice between (–x + y, p; y, 1 – p) and (0) rather than as a choice between (–x, p) and (–y).

The preceding argument entails that insurance is likely to be more attractive in the former representation than in the latter.

For all the latest news and podcasts, join our free newsletter here.

FREE Stock Screener

Article by The Acquirer's Multiple.

HFA Padded

Tobias Carlisle is the founder of The Acquirer’s Multiple®. He is also the founder of Acquirers Funds®. The Acquirer’s Multiple® is the valuation ratio used to find attractive takeover candidates.