Looking At The Economic Expansion: How Long Can It Last? - Hedge Fund Alpha (formerly ValueWalk Premium)

Looking At The Economic Expansion: How Long Can It Last?

By most measures, the current economic expansion has lasted fairly long.  This, of course, begs the question: How long can this economic expansion keep going? Here’s a look at the historical cycles of the major economic indicators in the U.S. Overall, although it’s a risky baseline, the expansion could last another 2 to 4 years.  Over 4 years would be quite extraordinary. Economic Expansion Employment Here’s the view of the employment picture. Overall, at 5 years, the current expansion is reasonably strong in duration.  It’s 2 years short of the 1980s prolonged expansion, and 4 years short of the incredibly...

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