The Bank of International Settlements (BIS), known as the “central bank of central banks,” has been outdoing itself lately. Not only did it discover $14 trillion in debt hidden in “footnotes,” but in its recent report titled “Strong outlook with low inflation spurs risk-taking,” “pretty much summarized (the) disinflation boom theme,” a Jefferies report noted. It all points to an economic environment never before witnessed, as low bond market volatility is a market feature heading into a rate hike cycle. But that headline of “low volatility” might not actually be the case when the skew spreads are considered.
[dalio]