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Oil Inventories Should Continue To Fall

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valueplays
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It’s interesting to watch the dramatic turnaround in our holding CHK. Post-Wildhorse deal the stock collapsed as oil prices fell and Wall St assumed prices would be low forever. Oil has rebounded higher and no the deal is being thought of a smart one and the stock has reacted accordingly (up over 50% YTD). Additionally, our DTO short has performed spectacularly (86% gain) and will continue to do so.

Q4 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc

oil drilling 1550781391
jplenio / Pixabay

“Davidson” submits:

Refining has picked up-US Crude Inv falls 9,589mil BBL to 439,483mil BBL which is basically  inline with its 5yr Mov Avg at 438,920mil BBL-next report likely to show continued draw with additional refining coming on line which is typical this time of year.

Expect a continued decline in US Crude Inv below the 5yr Mov Avg to push $WTI higher with the historical market psychology response all things being equal.

Oil Inventories

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Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and a General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. He holds them until that value is realized or the fundamentals change in a way that no longer support his thesis. His blog features his various ideas and commentary and he updates readers on their progress in a timely fashion. His commentary has been seen in the online versions of the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, CNN Money, Business Week, Crain’s NY, Kiplingers and other publications. He has also appeared on Fox Business News & Fox News and is a RealMoney.com contributor. His commentary on Starbucks during 2008 was recently quoted by its Founder Howard Schultz in his recent book “Onward”. In 2011 he was asked to present an investment idea at Bill Ackman’s “Harbor Investment Conference”.