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Market Psychology And Oil

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valueplays
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“Davidson” submits:

[activistinvesting]

Q1 hedge fund letters, conference, scoops etc, Also read Lear Capital: Financial Products You Should Avoid?

Hearing the 5yr avg inventory so many times, I ran the weekly reported US Crude Inventory, vs its 5yr Moving Avg and $WTI. The correlation when the Inv crosses above or below the 5yr Mov Avg is quite strong. This shows the market’s thinking. Investors act as if demand has been static the past 5yrs when global demand has been rising steadily.

Market psychology is what it is. No wonder $WTI has been higher recently and popped 4%+ today.

Market Psychology And Oil

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Todd Sullivan is a Massachusetts-based value investor and a General Partner in Rand Strategic Partners. He looks for investments he believes are selling for a discount to their intrinsic value given their current situation and future prospects. He holds them until that value is realized or the fundamentals change in a way that no longer support his thesis. His blog features his various ideas and commentary and he updates readers on their progress in a timely fashion. His commentary has been seen in the online versions of the Wall St. Journal, New York Times, CNN Money, Business Week, Crain’s NY, Kiplingers and other publications. He has also appeared on Fox Business News & Fox News and is a RealMoney.com contributor. His commentary on Starbucks during 2008 was recently quoted by its Founder Howard Schultz in his recent book “Onward”. In 2011 he was asked to present an investment idea at Bill Ackman’s “Harbor Investment Conference”.