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Canadian Economy Nears Dangerous Juncture As Banks Face Multiple Threats

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Mark Melin
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UPDATED by Mark Melin on 3.14.18 at 6:41 PM EST

As overall Canadian consumer debt continues to rise, key risk trends are growing among the nation’s seven largest banks. A report from Moody’s Investors Service notes greater vulnerabilities as interest rate hikes loom on the horizon.

Moodys canadian market 2

“The strong credit quality of Canadian consumer loans, thanks largely to record low unemployment in recent years, is under threat on several fronts,” Moody’s analyst Jason Mercer noted in a March 13 report.

The change is primarily impacting Bank of Montreal, Bank of Nova Scotia, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, Royal Bank of Canada, Toronto-Dominion Bank, National Bank of Canada and Desjardins Group.

As interest rates rise, debt-servicing...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.