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Goldman: Nasdaq Valuation Is Getting Frothy

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Mark Melin
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The high-flying Nasdaq 100 (NDX), up 32% year over year, will temper its outperformance to the S&P 500 (SPX), which is up 19% over a similar period, a Goldman Sachs report predicted. While the fundamental outlook for the primary stocks contained in the NDX is positive – heavyweights Apple, Google, Microsoft, Amazon and Facebook generally are given good marks by analysts – the issue with NDX is more of high valuations is getting close to the end point of the relative value spread. Looking at valuation on a ten-year basis, the Goldman report said it will “will curb the magnitude of further excess returns” for the NDX outperformance over the SPX.

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.