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Goldman: China Reflation Will Not Lead To Economic Growth

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Rupert Hargreaves
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We are seeing reflation in China but will it lead to any real growth? Probably not, says one big bank.
The reflation theme has been a key driver of equity market returns over the past six months. Nowhere is this trend more apparent than in China where the industrial sector has been reflating strongly, with PPI running at over 10% on an annualized basis.

Broadly speaking, this could be good news for upstream industries, where pricing power and profits have been sharply boosted by restrained supply according to Goldman Sachs’ Asian economics team led by MK Tang.

In a research report issued earlier this week, the team considered what China’s reflation means for the country and its economy.

So far, China’s...

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Sign up now and get our in-depth FREE e-books on famous investors like Klarman, Dalio, Schloss, Munger Rupert is a committed value investor and regularly writes and invests following the principles set out by Benjamin Graham. He is the editor and co-owner of Hidden Value Stocks, a quarterly investment newsletter aimed at institutional investors. Rupert owns shares in Berkshire Hathaway. Rupert holds qualifications from the Chartered Institute For Securities & Investment and the CFA Society of the UK. Rupert covers everything value investing for Hedge Fund Alpha