Some Of Nomura's "Grey Swans" More Likely Than Others

Uncertainty and potential volatility spikes are among analyst themes for 2017. Some analysts have predicted the US Fed will raise interest rates more than expected, while others have predicted that volatility itself will become more volatile. Nomura has taken a swipe at predicting the unpredictable by releasing a list of “10 Grey Swan Events for 2017” that, unlike the entirely unpredictable black swan, have a logical basis and, while unlikely, have potential to occur.

Some of the Nomura “unlikely” predictions are actually already occurring to various degrees and are considered not entirely improbable, while others might be considered more out in left field.

The elimination of hard currency, a Nomura "grey swan," has already underway in India and is being discussed...