Hedge Funds Established Winning “Trump Trade” Before Election Outcome

Mark Melin

Published onNovember 15, 2016

Updated on May 14, 2021

Institutional investors sent dichotomous signals in their positioning leading up to the election of Donald Trump. While hedge funds moved to establish risk-on positions – establishing notable long Trump trade exposure in S&P 500 futures contracts, for instance -- it was more conservative institutional investors who ran from the election, embracing a risk-off stance. This occurred as managed futures CTA and CPO strategies piled into the industrial metal copper, a Bank of America Merrill Lynch report noted.

Table of Contents

Also see Q3 2016 hedge fund letters

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Mark Melin

Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.

Hedge Funds Established Winning “Trump Trade” Before Election Outcome

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