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CFTC Data Shows Speculators Generally Well Positioned Coming Into Brexit Vote

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Mark Melin
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Coming into the Brexit vote, speculators trading derivatives were well positioned in some markets, not as well positioned in others, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s Commitments of Traders report shows.

COT 4 27 treasuries

Coming into Brexit vote, speculators short British pound and euro, long dollar

Speculators, which includes those who are not offsetting their trades by making or taking delivery of the product, are benefiting from their British pound exposure. Speculators, including a wide variety of hedge funds, banks and other institutional portfolio managers, were short GBP futures coming into Brexit. All told, this group sold a net of 15,000 contracts over the week.

Speculators also benefited from short positioning in the euro...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.