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Goldman: Markets Biggest Fear Is Neither Trump, Nor Sanders, Nor The Fed … It's Brexit

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Mark Melin
Published on
Updated on
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As the market prices in Brexit volatility, where are the opportunities for traders?

Shortly after an Investec research report noted that the perception regarding a Brexit volatility and a mean reversion trade might drive reality, and recommended buying a U.K. bank that was not Barclays, Goldman Sachs has a different take. Looking at the underlying market structure behind Brexit volatility, the bank’s option research team note a term structure unfavorable to near-term long VIX futures exposure. Different markets are treating Brexit volatility with variable degrees of pricing.

GS 5 26 FTSE VIX Term structure kink

Brexit volatility puts “kink” in term structure

As the June 23rd Brexit moves closer, and the U.K. referendum to...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.