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UBS Sees Stock Volatility Ahead With Mean Reversion Opportunity

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Mark Melin
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When considering the recent impact of politics on market price direction, there is one factor, stock volatility, that has been consistent and is likely to remain a factor going forward, an April 29 UBS Global Research report noted. But that key market factor mostly whispered in the mainstream but carefully watched – “Fed liftoff” – is among a few factors risk managers are considering as an “endgame” to a well-worn bull market, the second longest in history, crystallizes.

stock volatility UBS 5 1 bull market ending

Stock volatility: With 2017 earnings projections likely to miss, one market factor is most likely

To the downside,...

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Mark Melin is an alternative investment practitioner whose specialty is recognizing the impact of beta market environment on a technical trading strategy. A portfolio and industry consultant, wrote or edited three books including High Performance Managed Futures (Wiley 2010) and The Chicago Board of Trade’s Handbook of Futures and Options (McGraw-Hill 2008) and taught a course at Northwestern University's executive education program.