“Extended positioning argues at a minimum for a breather and more likely a pullback soon,” notes a January 31 cross-asset allocations research report from Deutsche Bank’s Asset Allocation research team The above statement, which as it turns out was highly accurate, is based on conclusions drawn from analysis of market positioning heading into the last week of January.
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The report, compiled by Chief Strategist Binky Chadha and team, notes that momentum has been the primary driver of asset class returns for some time and these moves have “seen positioning build to extremes across asset classes, with many 1-3 standard deviations above average levels seen over the course of this cycle.”
The...
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